Texas vs Oklahoma Prediction, Picks & Odds (Week 6)

Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM ET

Our pick

Texas moneyline -417, published Oct 3, 2026, 12:28 PM ET.

Why we pick Texas

We pick Texas on the moneyline at -417 when we published it on Oct 3. We back the side the odds favor, and that price implies a 81% chance of Texas winning.

This season, Texas is 4-0 with 133 points for and 53 against; Oklahoma is 2-2 with 88 points for and 64 against.

Texas is 5-0 in its last 5, averaging 34.8 scored and 16.0 allowed; most recently beating Tennessee 20-17 on September 26, 2026. Oklahoma is 2-3 in its last 5, averaging 22.4 scored and 19.6 allowed; most recently losing to Georgia 13-41 on September 26, 2026.

These teams have met once in our results history, on October 11, 2025: Oklahoma 6, Texas 23.

Injury report: Texas lists 5 (Hollywood Smothers, Injured; Cam Coleman, Injured; Nick Townsend, Injured; more below); Oklahoma lists 4 (Jer'Michael Carter, Injured; Trell Harris, Injured; Kristan Moore, Injured; more below).

Injuries

Texas

  • Hollywood Smothers: Injured, Ankle
  • Cam Coleman: Injured, Back
  • Nick Townsend: Injured, Knee
  • Kade Phillips: Injured, Back
  • Derek Williams Jr.: Injured, Ankle

Oklahoma

  • Jer'Michael Carter: Injured, Undisclosed
  • Trell Harris: Injured, Back
  • Kristan Moore: Injured, Back
  • Markel Ford: Injured, Undisclosed

Recent form

Texas

  • September 26, 2026: W 20-17 at Tennessee
  • September 19, 2026: W 30-6 vs UTSA
  • September 12, 2026: W 24-23 vs Ohio State
  • September 5, 2026: W 59-7 vs Texas State
  • December 31, 2025: W 41-27 vs Michigan

Oklahoma

  • September 26, 2026: L 13-41 at Georgia
  • September 19, 2026: W 14-6 vs New Mexico
  • September 12, 2026: L 10-17 at Michigan
  • September 4, 2026: W 51-0 vs UTEP
  • December 19, 2025: L 24-34 vs Alabama

Head to head

  • October 11, 2025: Oklahoma 6, Texas 23

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