South Florida vs UTSA Prediction, Picks & Odds (Week 6)
Thu, Oct 8, 7:30 PM ET
Our pick
UTSA moneyline -278, published Oct 4, 2026, 8:44 AM ET.
Why we pick UTSA
We pick UTSA on the moneyline at -278 when we published it on Oct 4. We back the side the odds favor, and that price implies a 74% chance of UTSA winning.
This season, South Florida is 4-0 with 120 points for and 56 against; UTSA is 3-1 with 141 points for and 117 against.
South Florida is 4-1 in its last 5, averaging 26.0 scored and 16.0 allowed; most recently beating Bowling Green 14-6 on September 26, 2026. UTSA is 4-1 in its last 5, averaging 39.6 scored and 27.4 allowed; most recently beating Colorado State 59-45 on September 26, 2026.
These teams have met once in our results history, on November 6, 2025: UTSA 23, South Florida 55.
Injury report: South Florida lists 9 (Jaden Alexis, Injured; Arhmad Branch, Injured; Gabe Legrand, Injured; more below); UTSA lists 4 (Bryson Donnell, Injured; Mykha Green, Injured; Brandon Tucker, Injured; more below).
Injuries
South Florida
- Jaden Alexis: Injured, Undisclosed
- Arhmad Branch: Injured, Undisclosed
- Gabe Legrand: Injured, Undisclosed
- Dmari Roberts: Injured, Undisclosed
- Cameron Seldon: Injured, Undisclosed
- Michael Williams II: Injured, Undisclosed
- Asani Redwood: Injured, Undisclosed
- Grayson Howard: Injured, Undisclosed
- Jabari Smith: Injured, Undisclosed
UTSA
- Bryson Donnell: Injured, Undisclosed
- Mykha Green: Injured, Undisclosed
- Brandon Tucker: Injured, Undisclosed
- Elijah Newell: Injured, Undisclosed
Recent form
South Florida
- September 26, 2026: W 14-6 at Bowling Green
- September 19, 2026: W 59-17 vs Delaware State
- September 12, 2026: W 28-24 at Army
- September 5, 2026: W 19-9 vs Florida International
- December 17, 2025: L 10-24 vs Old Dominion
UTSA
- September 26, 2026: W 59-45 vs Colorado State
- September 19, 2026: L 6-30 at Texas
- September 12, 2026: W 31-26 at Texas State
- September 5, 2026: W 45-16 vs UT Rio Grande Valley
- December 26, 2025: W 57-20 vs Florida International
Head to head
- November 6, 2025: UTSA 23, South Florida 55