North Carolina vs Pittsburgh Prediction, Picks & Odds (Week 6)

Sat, Oct 10, 12:00 PM ET

Our pick

Pittsburgh moneyline -161, published Oct 4, 2026, 8:51 AM ET.

Why we pick Pittsburgh

We pick Pittsburgh on the moneyline at -161 when we published it on Oct 4. We back the side the odds favor, and that price implies a 62% chance of Pittsburgh winning.

This season, North Carolina is 2-1 with 70 points for and 41 against; Pittsburgh is 5-0 with 192 points for and 67 against.

North Carolina is 2-3 in its last 5, averaging 22.8 scored and 23.0 allowed; most recently losing to Clemson 20-28 on September 19, 2026. Pittsburgh is 5-0 in its last 5, averaging 38.4 scored and 13.4 allowed; most recently beating Virginia Tech 35-33 on October 2, 2026.

Injury report: North Carolina lists 7 (Keeyun Chapman, Injured; C.J. Sadler, Injured; Carnell Warren, Injured; more below); Pittsburgh lists 8 (Mason Heintschel, Injured; Rodney Dunbar, Injured; Malik Knight, Injured; more below).

Injuries

North Carolina

  • Keeyun Chapman: Injured, Not Injury Related
  • C.J. Sadler: Injured, Undisclosed
  • Carnell Warren: Injured, Undisclosed
  • Jaxxon Warren: Injured, Undisclosed
  • Jordan Washington: Injured, Undisclosed
  • Tarvorise Brown: Injured, Undisclosed
  • Reggie Love II: Injured, Undisclosed

Pittsburgh

  • Mason Heintschel: Injured, Knee
  • Rodney Dunbar: Injured, Undisclosed
  • Malik Knight: Injured, Undisclosed
  • Max Hunt: Injured, Undisclosed
  • Elijah Lagg: Injured, Undisclosed
  • DeMarco Ward: Injured, Undisclosed
  • Raion Strader: Injured, Knee
  • Cole Woodson: Injured, Undisclosed

Recent form

North Carolina

  • September 19, 2026: L 20-28 at Clemson
  • September 12, 2026: W 35-3 vs East Tennessee State
  • August 29, 2026: W 15-10 at TCU
  • November 29, 2025: L 19-42 at NC State
  • November 22, 2025: L 25-32 vs Duke

Pittsburgh

  • October 2, 2026: W 35-33 at Virginia Tech
  • September 26, 2026: W 59-0 vs Bucknell
  • September 17, 2026: W 27-13 vs Syracuse
  • September 12, 2026: W 12-7 vs UCF
  • September 5, 2026: W 59-14 vs Miami (OH)

More on this game