Mississippi State vs Texas Prediction, Picks & Odds (Week 9)

Sun, Nov 1, 12:00 AM ET

Why we pick this side

This season, Mississippi State is 4-0 with 172 points for and 84 against; Texas is 4-0 with 133 points for and 53 against.

Mississippi State is 4-1 in its last 5, averaging 40.2 scored and 25.4 allowed; most recently beating Missouri 31-24 on September 26, 2026. Texas is 5-0 in its last 5, averaging 34.8 scored and 16.0 allowed; most recently beating Tennessee 20-17 on September 26, 2026.

These teams have met once in our results history, on October 25, 2025: Mississippi State 38, Texas 45.

Injury report: Mississippi State lists 4 (Kamario Taylor, Injured; Ayden Williams, Injured; Tyler Lockhart, Injured; more below); Texas lists 5 (Hollywood Smothers, Injured; Cam Coleman, Injured; Nick Townsend, Injured; more below).

Injuries

Mississippi State

  • Kamario Taylor: Injured, Undisclosed
  • Ayden Williams: Injured, Undisclosed
  • Tyler Lockhart: Injured, Undisclosed
  • Kelley Jones: Injured, Undisclosed

Texas

  • Hollywood Smothers: Injured, Ankle
  • Cam Coleman: Injured, Back
  • Nick Townsend: Injured, Knee
  • Kade Phillips: Injured, Back
  • Derek Williams Jr.: Injured, Ankle

Recent form

Mississippi State

  • September 26, 2026: W 31-24 vs Missouri
  • September 19, 2026: W 41-34 at South Carolina
  • September 12, 2026: W 38-13 at Minnesota
  • September 5, 2026: W 62-13 vs UL Monroe
  • January 2, 2026: L 29-43 vs Wake Forest

Texas

  • September 26, 2026: W 20-17 at Tennessee
  • September 19, 2026: W 30-6 vs UTSA
  • September 12, 2026: W 24-23 vs Ohio State
  • September 5, 2026: W 59-7 vs Texas State
  • December 31, 2025: W 41-27 vs Michigan

Head to head

  • October 25, 2025: Mississippi State 38, Texas 45

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