Minnesota vs Purdue Prediction, Picks & Odds (Week 6)
Sat, Oct 10, 8:00 PM ET
Market favorite
Minnesota moneyline, -130, published Oct 5, 2026, 9:07 AM ET at Bovada.
About this pick
Minnesota is the market favorite on the moneyline at -130 when the pick was published on Oct 5. Until our ratings model is live, each pick is the market favorite, and that price implies a 56% chance of Minnesota winning. On the moneyline, the margin-free consensus across 2 of our partner sportsbooks gives Minnesota 54.3%, and the best price available is -130 at Bovada.
Line movement: the Minnesota moneyline has moved from -139 to -130 since Oct 4 (partner sportsbooks); the Minnesota spread has moved from -4.5 to -2.5 since Oct 4 (partner sportsbooks); the total has moved from 49.5 to 51 since Oct 4 (partner sportsbooks).
This season, Minnesota is 3-1 with 140 points for and 76 against; Purdue is 1-3 with 128 points for and 158 against.
Minnesota is 4-1 in its last 5, averaging 32.0 scored and 18.6 allowed; most recently beating Washington 27-24 on September 26, 2026. Purdue is 1-4 in its last 5, averaging 26.2 scored and 42.8 allowed; most recently losing to Notre Dame 10-49 on September 26, 2026.
These teams have met once in our results history, on October 11, 2025: Purdue 20, Minnesota 27.
Market vs best price
Our ratings model isn't live yet, so this compares the sportsbooks' own view with the best price you can get.
- Consensus win probability for Minnesota (margin removed, 2 books)
- 54.3%
- Best price
- -130 at Bovada (56.5% implied)
- Difference
- -2.2 points
Minnesota vs Purdue odds
American odds, main line. The best price in each column is in bold. We earn a commission if you join through these links.
| Sportsbook | Minnesota ML | Purdue ML | Minnesota spread | Purdue spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MyBookie | -133 | +109 | -2.5 -110 | +2.5 -110 | O 51 -110 | U 51 -110 |
| Bovada | -130 | +110 | -2.5 -110 | +2.5 -110 | O 51 -110 | U 51 -110 |
| BetOnline | — | — | -2.5 -104 | +2.5 -116 | O 51 -110 | U 51 -110 |
| BetUS | — | — | -2.5 -105 | +2.5 -115 | O 51 -110 | U 51 -110 |
Line movement
- Minnesota moneyline: -139 → -130 since Oct 4 (partner sportsbooks)
- Minnesota spread: -4.5 → -2.5 since Oct 4 (partner sportsbooks)
- total: 49.5 → 51 since Oct 4 (partner sportsbooks)
Injuries
Minnesota
- Ryan Estrada: Injured, Knee
- Hayden Moore: Injured, Undisclosed
- Parker Knutson: Injured, Knee
Purdue
- Kylan Fox: Injured, Knee
- Anthony Speca: Injured, Knee
Recent form
Minnesota
- September 26, 2026: W 27-24 at Washington
- September 19, 2026: W 41-7 vs Akron
- September 12, 2026: L 13-38 vs Mississippi State
- September 3, 2026: W 59-7 vs Eastern Illinois
- December 26, 2025: W 20-17 vs New Mexico
Purdue
- September 26, 2026: L 10-49 vs Notre Dame
- September 19, 2026: L 38-52 at UCLA
- September 12, 2026: L 36-38 vs Wake Forest
- September 4, 2026: W 44-19 vs Indiana State
- November 28, 2025: L 3-56 vs Indiana
Head to head
- October 11, 2025: Purdue 20, Minnesota 27
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