Boise State vs Fresno State Prediction, Picks & Odds (Week 6)
Sat, Oct 10, 10:30 PM ET
Our pick
Boise State moneyline -357, published Oct 4, 2026, 10:30 AM ET.
Why we pick Boise State
We pick Boise State on the moneyline at -357 when we published it on Oct 4. We back the side the odds favor, and that price implies a 78% chance of Boise State winning.
This season, Boise State is 3-1 with 135 points for and 85 against; Fresno State is 3-1 with 113 points for and 76 against.
Boise State is 3-2 in its last 5, averaging 29.0 scored and 24.6 allowed; most recently beating Western Michigan 32-7 on September 26, 2026. Fresno State is 4-1 in its last 5, averaging 26.2 scored and 15.8 allowed; most recently beating Rice 38-24 on September 26, 2026.
These teams have met once in our results history, on November 1, 2025: Fresno State 30, Boise State 7.
Injury report: Boise State lists 2 (Darren Morris, Injured; Sterling Lane II, Injured); Fresno State lists 4 (Brandon Ramirez, Injured; Harold Duvall, Injured; Kiontre Harris, Injured; more below).
Injuries
Boise State
- Darren Morris: Injured, Undisclosed
- Sterling Lane II: Injured, Undisclosed
Fresno State
- Brandon Ramirez: Injured, Undisclosed
- Harold Duvall: Injured, Undisclosed
- Kiontre Harris: Injured, Undisclosed
- Preston Okafor: Injured, Undisclosed
Recent form
Boise State
- September 26, 2026: W 32-7 at Western Michigan
- September 19, 2026: W 38-24 vs South Dakota
- September 12, 2026: W 38-20 vs Memphis
- September 5, 2026: L 27-34 at Oregon
- December 13, 2025: L 10-38 at Washington
Fresno State
- September 26, 2026: W 38-24 vs Rice
- September 19, 2026: W 26-10 at San José State
- September 12, 2026: W 49-3 vs Sacramento State
- September 4, 2026: L 0-39 at USC
- December 27, 2025: W 18-3 vs Miami (OH)
Head to head
- November 1, 2025: Fresno State 30, Boise State 7