Ball State vs Northwestern Prediction, Picks & Odds (Week 6)

Sat, Oct 10, 12:30 PM ET

Market favorite

Northwestern moneyline -625, published Oct 4, 2026, 10:30 AM ET.

About this pick

Northwestern is the market favorite on the moneyline at -625 when the pick was published on Oct 4. Until our ratings model is live, each pick is the market favorite, and that price implies a 86% chance of Northwestern winning.

This season, Ball State is 1-3 with 72 points for and 150 against; Northwestern is 3-1 with 132 points for and 67 against.

Ball State is 1-4 in its last 5, averaging 19.2 scored and 39.0 allowed; most recently losing to Kent State 13-26 on September 26, 2026. Northwestern is 4-1 in its last 5, averaging 33.2 scored and 14.8 allowed; most recently beating Penn State 34-13 on October 2, 2026.

Injury report: Ball State lists 8 (Jalen Bonds, Injured; Derion Talbert, Injured; Isaiah Thacker, Injured; more below); Northwestern lists 5 (Chase Farrell, Injured; Jaden McDuffie, Injured; Luke Dehnicke, Injured; more below).

Injuries

Ball State

  • Jalen Bonds: Injured, Undisclosed
  • Derion Talbert: Injured, Undisclosed
  • Isaiah Thacker: Injured, Undisclosed
  • Cole Coonrod: Injured, Undisclosed
  • Sean Ward: Injured, Undisclosed
  • Layton Starks: Injured, Undisclosed
  • Tobi Adewoyin: Injured, Undisclosed
  • Quentavius Scandrett: Injured, Undisclosed

Northwestern

  • Chase Farrell: Injured, Undisclosed
  • Jaden McDuffie: Injured, Undisclosed
  • Luke Dehnicke: Injured, Undisclosed
  • Tom McGlinchey: Injured, Undisclosed
  • Chris Petrucci: Injured, Undisclosed

Recent form

Ball State

  • September 26, 2026: L 13-26 at Kent State
  • September 19, 2026: L 15-51 at Liberty
  • September 12, 2026: W 41-17 vs Stony Brook
  • September 5, 2026: L 3-56 at Ohio State
  • November 29, 2025: L 24-45 at Miami (OH)

Northwestern

  • October 2, 2026: W 34-13 vs Penn State
  • September 25, 2026: L 23-29 at Indiana
  • September 19, 2026: W 41-7 vs Colorado
  • September 5, 2026: W 34-18 vs South Dakota State
  • December 26, 2025: W 34-7 vs Central Michigan

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