New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, Picks & Odds (Oct 6, 2026)
Mon, Oct 5, 8:00 PM ET
Our pick
New York Yankees moneyline -132, published Oct 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ET.
Why we pick New York Yankees
We pick New York Yankees on the moneyline at -132 when we published it on Oct 4. We back the side the odds favor, and that price implies a 57% chance of the Yankees winning. On the moneyline, the margin-free consensus across 4 of our partner sportsbooks gives the Yankees 54%, and the best price available is -125 at BetOnline.
Line movement: the New York Yankees moneyline has moved from -120 to -128 since Oct 3 (partner sportsbooks).
This season, the Yankees are 93-68 with 739 runs scored and 601 allowed, 47-34 on the road; the Rays are 98-64 with 736 runs scored and 650 allowed, 55-26 at home.
The Yankees are 3-2 in their last 5, averaging 5.2 scored and 3.2 allowed; most recently losing to Tampa Bay Rays 0-1 on October 3, 2026. The Rays are 3-2 in their last 5, averaging 4.4 scored and 2.8 allowed; most recently beating New York Yankees 1-0 on October 3, 2026.
In the last 5 meetings in our results history, the Rays have won 2 and the Yankees 3. The most recent was on October 3, 2026: New York Yankees 0, Tampa Bay Rays 1.
Market vs best price
We don't run a projection model. This compares the sportsbooks' own view with the best price you can get.
- Consensus win probability for New York Yankees (margin removed, 4 books)
- 54%
- Best price
- -125 at BetOnline (55.6% implied)
- Difference
- -1.5 points
New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays odds
American odds, main line. The best price in each column is in bold.
| Sportsbook | New York Yankees ML | Tampa Bay Rays ML | New York Yankees spread | Tampa Bay Rays spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MyBookie | -128 | +109 | -1.5 +146 | +1.5 -169 | O 6.5 -114 | U 6.5 -108 |
| Bovada | -127 | +106 | -1.5 +150 | +1.5 -175 | O 6.5 -110 | U 6.5 -110 |
| BetOnline | -125 | +113 | -1.5 +145 | +1.5 -164 | O 6.5 -115 | U 6.5 -105 |
| BetUS | -125 | +114 | -1.5 +144 | +1.5 -164 | O 6.5 -115 | U 6.5 -105 |
Line movement
- New York Yankees moneyline: -120 → -128 since Oct 3 (partner sportsbooks)
Injuries
New York Yankees
- Clarke Schmidt: Sidelined, Elbow - Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
- Jazz Chisholm Jr.: Sidelined, Thumb - Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
- Fernando Cruz: Sidelined, Elbow - Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
- Trent Grisham: Sidelined, Hamstring - Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
- Ryan Weathers: Sidelined, Forearm - Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
- Giancarlo Stanton: Sidelined, Calf - Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
Tampa Bay Rays
- Garrett Cleavinger: Sidelined, Forearm - Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
- Shane McClanahan: Sidelined, Forearm - Expected to be out until at least Oct 1
- Ben Williamson: Sidelined, Hamstring - Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
- Tyler Wells: Sidelined, Forearm - Expected to be out until at least Oct 2
- Gavin Lux: Sidelined, Shoulder - Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
- Manuel Rodriguez: Sidelined, Back - Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
- Edwin Uceta: Sidelined, Shoulder - Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
- Taylor Walls: Sidelined, Hip - Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
- Ryan Pepiot: Sidelined, Hip - Expected to be out until at least Feb 1
Recent form
New York Yankees
- October 3, 2026: L 0-1 at Tampa Bay Rays
- September 30, 2026: W 9-2 vs Boston Red Sox
- September 29, 2026: W 9-0 vs Boston Red Sox
- September 25, 2026: L 2-10 vs Baltimore Orioles
- September 25, 2026: W 6-3 vs Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
- October 3, 2026: W 1-0 vs New York Yankees
- September 27, 2026: L 3-7 at Philadelphia Phillies
- September 26, 2026: W 12-1 at Philadelphia Phillies
- September 25, 2026: W 2-0 at Philadelphia Phillies
- September 24, 2026: L 4-6 at New York Yankees
Head to head
- October 3, 2026: New York Yankees 0, Tampa Bay Rays 1
- September 24, 2026: Tampa Bay Rays 4, New York Yankees 6
- September 23, 2026: Tampa Bay Rays 2, New York Yankees 9
- September 22, 2026: Tampa Bay Rays 0, New York Yankees 2
- September 22, 2026: Tampa Bay Rays 6, New York Yankees 1
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