MLB Picks Today, October 31

How our MLB picks work

Each pick is the moneyline favorite: the team the sportsbooks we compare price as more likely to win. Baseball is mostly bet on the moneyline, and even strong teams lose often, so favorites are usually priced closer to even than in football. We are building our own team ratings, and once they are live we will post a pick only when our number differs from the market by a set margin.

How to read MLB odds

Moneyline. You bet on the winner. Extra innings count.

Run line. The run line is a spread fixed at 1.5 runs. The favorite at -1.5 has to win by two or more; the underdog at +1.5 wins the bet if it wins or loses by one. That is why a favorite's run line often pays better than its moneyline.

Starting pitchers. The starting pitcher moves a baseball price more than any other player, because a starter faces the other lineup several times. When a team changes its starter, books reprice the game. Some books let you bet with listed pitchers, which voids the bet if a listed starter doesn't start; check your book's rules.

Total. You bet on the total runs, extra innings included.

Why the price matters

When both sides of a bet are -110, each implies 52.4%, so together they add up to 104.8%. That extra 4.8% is the sportsbook's built-in margin, also called the vig or juice, and it is why you need to win 52.4% of bets at -110 just to break even.

When a price is close to even, a few cents between books is a big part of the payout.

How we track our record

Every pick is published before the first pitch, with its publish time, and is never edited. After the game it is graded won, lost or push. Losing picks stay on this page and in the record. The record starts October 8, 2026, and counts every pick published since then.

MLB picks FAQ

What if the starting pitcher changes after you publish?

Our pick stays as published, with its price, and is graded on the final score. The best price now shows where the market moved.

Do extra innings count?

Yes. Moneyline, run line and total bets include extra innings, and our picks are graded on the final score.

When are MLB picks posted?

Once one of the four sportsbooks we compare posts a moneyline for the game, and always before the first pitch.

What happens if a game is rained out?

A postponed or canceled game isn't graded, so the pick counts as neither a win nor a loss in the record.