New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, Picks & Odds (Oct 3, 2026)
Sat, Oct 3, 11:30 PM ET
Our pick
Tampa Bay Rays moneyline -135, published Oct 2, 2026, 12:17 AM ET.
Why we pick Tampa Bay Rays
We pick Tampa Bay Rays on the moneyline at -135 when we published it on Oct 2. We back the side the odds favor, and that price implies a 57% chance of the Rays winning.
This season, the Yankees are 93-68 with 739 runs scored and 601 allowed, 47-34 on the road; the Rays are 98-64 with 736 runs scored and 650 allowed, 55-26 at home.
The Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5, averaging 6.4 scored and 3.8 allowed; most recently beating Boston Red Sox 9-2 on September 30, 2026. The Rays are 2-3 in their last 5, averaging 4.6 scored and 4.6 allowed; most recently losing to Philadelphia Phillies 3-7 on September 27, 2026.
In the last 4 meetings in our results history, the Rays have won 1 and the Yankees 3. The most recent was on September 24, 2026: Tampa Bay Rays 4, New York Yankees 6.
Injury report: the Yankees list 6 (Clarke Schmidt, Sidelined; Jazz Chisholm Jr., Sidelined; Fernando Cruz, Sidelined; more below); the Rays list 9 (Garrett Cleavinger, Sidelined; Shane McClanahan, Sidelined; Ben Williamson, Sidelined; more below).
Injuries
New York Yankees
- Clarke Schmidt: Sidelined, Elbow - Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
- Jazz Chisholm Jr.: Sidelined, Thumb - Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
- Fernando Cruz: Sidelined, Elbow - Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
- Trent Grisham: Sidelined, Hamstring - Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
- Ryan Weathers: Sidelined, Forearm - Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
- Giancarlo Stanton: Sidelined, Calf - Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
Tampa Bay Rays
- Garrett Cleavinger: Sidelined, Forearm - Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
- Shane McClanahan: Sidelined, Forearm - Expected to be out until at least Oct 1
- Ben Williamson: Sidelined, Hamstring - Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
- Tyler Wells: Sidelined, Forearm - Expected to be out until at least Oct 2
- Gavin Lux: Sidelined, Shoulder - Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
- Manuel Rodriguez: Sidelined, Back - Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
- Edwin Uceta: Sidelined, Shoulder - Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
- Taylor Walls: Sidelined, Hip - Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
- Ryan Pepiot: Sidelined, Hip - Expected to be out until at least Feb 1
Recent form
New York Yankees
- September 30, 2026: W 9-2 vs Boston Red Sox
- September 29, 2026: W 9-0 vs Boston Red Sox
- September 25, 2026: L 2-10 vs Baltimore Orioles
- September 25, 2026: W 6-3 vs Baltimore Orioles
- September 24, 2026: W 6-4 vs Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays
- September 27, 2026: L 3-7 at Philadelphia Phillies
- September 26, 2026: W 12-1 at Philadelphia Phillies
- September 25, 2026: W 2-0 at Philadelphia Phillies
- September 24, 2026: L 4-6 at New York Yankees
- September 23, 2026: L 2-9 at New York Yankees
Head to head
- September 24, 2026: Tampa Bay Rays 4, New York Yankees 6
- September 23, 2026: Tampa Bay Rays 2, New York Yankees 9
- September 22, 2026: Tampa Bay Rays 0, New York Yankees 2
- September 22, 2026: Tampa Bay Rays 6, New York Yankees 1