Toledo vs Ball State Prediction, Picks & Odds (Oct 3, 2026)

Sat, Oct 3, 7:00 PM ET ยท Final

Our pick

Toledo moneyline -1429, published Oct 3, 2026, 12:28 PM ET.

Why we pick Toledo

We picked Toledo on the moneyline at -1429 when we published it on Oct 3. We back the side the odds favor, and that price implied a 93% chance of Toledo winning.

Toledo is 3-2 in its last 5, averaging 39.0 scored and 26.2 allowed; most recently beating San Diego State 41-16 on September 26, 2026. Ball State is 1-4 in its last 5, averaging 19.2 scored and 39.0 allowed; most recently losing to Kent State 13-26 on September 26, 2026.

These teams have met once in our results history, on November 22, 2025: Ball State 9, Toledo 38.

Recent form

Toledo

  • September 26, 2026: W 41-16 vs San Diego State
  • September 19, 2026: W 49-48 vs Temple
  • September 12, 2026: W 63-10 vs Central Connecticut
  • September 4, 2026: L 20-30 at Michigan State
  • December 23, 2025: L 22-27 at Louisville

Ball State

  • September 26, 2026: L 13-26 at Kent State
  • September 19, 2026: L 15-51 at Liberty
  • September 12, 2026: W 41-17 vs Stony Brook
  • September 5, 2026: L 3-56 at Ohio State
  • November 29, 2025: L 24-45 at Miami (OH)

Head to head

  • November 22, 2025: Ball State 9, Toledo 38

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