Heat at Warriors Pick, Odds & Prediction – NBA, November 5

Heat (3-5) at Warriors (5-3)

Thu, Nov 5, 10:10 PM ET · Status: Scheduled · Chase Center, San Francisco, CA

Win chance, moneyline with the vig removed: Heat 29%, Warriors 71%

Our pick

Pick: Golden State Warriors, posted at -270 Bet Golden State Warriors -270 at Bovada →

Market favorite on the moneyline. Published Nov 5, 2026, 1:34 AM ET, before the start.

Price check

• Our price: -270, published Nov 5, 2026, 1:34 AM ET
• Best price, as of Nov 5, 7:37 AM ET: -270 at Bovada
• Win chance (no vig) then: 68%
• Win chance (no vig), as of Nov 5, 7:37 AM ET: 71%

Heat at Warriors odds

Last updated Nov 5, 7:37 AM ET

American odds. The best price on each side is in bold. OFF: the book wasn't showing this line at the last update.

Line moves

• Spread: Golden State Warriors -6.5 to -7.5 since November 5

Matchup

Recent results

Heat

• L 117-138 at Los Angeles Lakers, November 2
• W 145-125 vs Indiana Pacers, October 30
• W 129-117 at Atlanta Hawks, October 28
• L 109-113 vs Dallas Mavericks, October 26
• L 110-115 at Charlotte Hornets, October 24

Warriors

• W 116-113 vs Phoenix Suns, November 2
• W 124-112 vs LA Clippers, November 1
• W 112-95 vs Los Angeles Lakers, October 30
• W 119-114 at Minnesota Timberwolves, October 28
• W 134-114 at Denver Nuggets, October 26

Head to head

• January 19, 2026: Miami Heat 112, Golden State Warriors 135
• November 19, 2025: Golden State Warriors 96, Miami Heat 110

Match preview

Prices as of Nov 5, 7:37 AM ET. The Warriors are the favorites. For the Warriors, Bovada offers the best price at -270. The best price on the Heat is +235 at BetUS. Strip out the books' cut and the Warriors are a 71% favorite. The line is Warriors -7.5. On November 5 it was 6.5 points. Bettors on the Heat should look at BetUS, which offers +7.5 at -105. The over/under is 235 points. The best over is 235 at -110 at MyBookie and Bovada, and the best under is 236 at -114 at BetOnline. A winning $100 bet on the Heat pays $235 at BetUS but only $220 at Bovada. The Warriors are our pick, at -270 on November 5. The top price is -270 at Bovada, almost where we posted.

The Warriors (5-3) host the Heat (3-5). The Heat have averaged 118.1 points scored and 123.9 allowed in 7 games this season. Latest game for the Heat: a 138-117 loss to the Los Angeles Lakers. The Warriors have averaged 117.5 points scored and 114.6 allowed in 8 games this season. Most recently, the Warriors beat the Phoenix Suns, 116-113.

Next NBA games

• Orlando Magic at Phoenix Suns, Nov 5, 9:10 PM ET. Pick: Phoenix Suns, posted at -132 · Bet Phoenix Suns -115 at Bovada →
• Boston Celtics at Charlotte Hornets, Nov 6, 8:00 PM ET. Lines not posted yet
• Washington Wizards at Atlanta Hawks, Nov 6, 8:00 PM ET. Lines not posted yet
• Philadelphia 76ers at Cleveland Cavaliers, Nov 6, 8:30 PM ET. Lines not posted yet

NBA picks and odds

All NBA picks · NBA odds

Heat vs Warriors FAQ

Who is favored in Heat vs Warriors?

As of Nov 5, 7:37 AM ET, the Warriors are favored. The best moneyline on the Warriors is -270 at Bovada, and with the bookmakers' margin removed the odds give the Warriors a 71% chance to win.

What is the spread for Heat vs Warriors?

As of Nov 5, 7:37 AM ET, the Warriors are 7.5-point favorites (Warriors -7.5) at three of the four books that have posted a spread. The best bet on the Warriors is -7 at -110 at Bovada. The best bet on the Heat is +7.5 at -105 at BetUS.

What is the over/under for Heat vs Warriors?

As of Nov 5, 7:37 AM ET, the over/under is 235 points at two of the four books that have posted a total. The best over is -110 at MyBookie and Bovada. The best under is 236 at -114 at BetOnline.

When and where is Heat vs Warriors?

The Heat play the Warriors on Thursday, November 5 at 10:10 PM ET at Chase Center, San Francisco, CA.