Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Picks & Odds (Oct 22, 2026)
Wed, Oct 21, 8:40 PM ET
Our pick
Houston Rockets moneyline -370, published Aug 19, 2026, 9:16 PM ET.
Why we pick Houston Rockets
We pick Houston Rockets on the moneyline at -370 when we published it on Aug 19. We back the side the odds favor, and that price implies a 79% chance of the Rockets winning. Bovada, the only partner sportsbook pricing this game so far, has the Rockets at -345 on the moneyline, a margin-free 74.1%.
Line movement: the Houston Rockets moneyline has moved from -370 to -312 since Sep 7 (daily snapshots of the bet365 line).
The Mavericks are 2-3 in their last 5, averaging 122.6 scored and 124.6 allowed; most recently beating Chicago Bulls 149-128 on April 12, 2026. The Rockets are 2-3 in their last 5, averaging 98.8 scored and 100.0 allowed; most recently losing to Los Angeles Lakers 78-98 on May 1, 2026.
In the last 4 meetings in our results history, the Rockets have won 2 and the Mavericks 2. The most recent was on January 31, 2026: Dallas Mavericks 107, Houston Rockets 111.
Injury report: the Mavericks list 2 (Dereck Lively II, Questionable; Kyrie Irving, Questionable); the Rockets list 3 (Kevin Durant, Questionable; Steven Adams, Questionable; Fred VanVleet, Questionable).
Market vs best price
We don't run a projection model. This compares the sportsbooks' own view with the best price you can get.
- Consensus win probability for Houston Rockets (margin removed, 1 books)
- 74.1%
- Best price
- -345 at Bovada (77.5% implied)
- Difference
- -3.4 points
Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets odds
American odds, main line. The best price in each column is in bold.
| Sportsbook | Dallas Mavericks ML | Houston Rockets ML | Dallas Mavericks spread | Houston Rockets spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | +270 | -345 | +8 -110 | -8 -110 | O 227.5 -110 | U 227.5 -110 |
| BetOnline | — | — | +8 -110 | -8 -110 | O 227.5 -110 | U 227.5 -110 |
Line movement
- Houston Rockets moneyline: -370 → -312 since Sep 7 (daily snapshots of the bet365 line)
Injuries
Dallas Mavericks
- Dereck Lively II: Questionable, Foot - Questionable for start of season
- Kyrie Irving: Questionable, Knee - Questionable for start of season
Houston Rockets
- Kevin Durant: Questionable, Ankle - Questionable for start of season
- Steven Adams: Questionable, Ankle - Questionable for start of season
- Fred VanVleet: Questionable, Knee - Questionable for start of season
Recent form
Dallas Mavericks
- April 12, 2026: W 149-128 vs Chicago Bulls
- April 10, 2026: L 120-139 at San Antonio Spurs
- April 8, 2026: L 107-112 at Phoenix Suns
- April 7, 2026: L 103-116 at LA Clippers
- April 5, 2026: W 134-128 vs Los Angeles Lakers
Houston Rockets
- May 1, 2026: L 78-98 vs Los Angeles Lakers
- April 29, 2026: W 99-93 at Los Angeles Lakers
- April 26, 2026: W 115-96 vs Los Angeles Lakers
- April 24, 2026: L 108-112 vs Los Angeles Lakers
- April 21, 2026: L 94-101 at Los Angeles Lakers
Head to head
- January 31, 2026: Dallas Mavericks 107, Houston Rockets 111
- January 3, 2026: Houston Rockets 104, Dallas Mavericks 110
- December 6, 2025: Houston Rockets 109, Dallas Mavericks 122
- November 3, 2025: Dallas Mavericks 102, Houston Rockets 110
21+ only. Sportsbook offers and availability vary by location. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.