San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Picks & Odds (Oct 4, 2026)
Sun, Oct 4, 4:00 PM ET
Our pick
Milwaukee Brewers moneyline -233, published Oct 2, 2026, 12:17 AM ET.
Why we pick Milwaukee Brewers
We pick Milwaukee Brewers on the moneyline at -233 when we published it on Oct 2. We back the side the odds favor, and that price implies a 70% chance of the Brewers winning. On the moneyline, the margin-free consensus across 4 of our partner sportsbooks gives the Brewers 56%, and the best price available is -132 at BetOnline.
Line movement: the Milwaukee Brewers moneyline has moved from -233 to -213 since Oct 2 (daily snapshots of the bet365 line); the total has moved from 7.5 to 7 since Oct 4 (partner sportsbooks).
This season, the Padres are 91-71 with 722 runs scored and 681 allowed, 40-41 on the road; the Brewers are 103-59 with 832 runs scored and 618 allowed, 55-26 at home.
The Padres are 4-1 in their last 5, averaging 6.6 scored and 3.0 allowed; most recently losing to Milwaukee Brewers 2-3 on October 3, 2026. The Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5, averaging 5.0 scored and 2.6 allowed; most recently beating San Diego Padres 3-2 on October 3, 2026.
In the last 5 meetings in our results history, the Brewers have won 2 and the Padres 3. The most recent was on October 3, 2026: San Diego Padres 2, Milwaukee Brewers 3.
Market vs best price
We don't run a projection model. This compares the sportsbooks' own view with the best price you can get.
- Consensus win probability for Milwaukee Brewers (margin removed, 4 books)
- 56%
- Best price
- -132 at BetOnline (56.8% implied)
- Difference
- -0.8 points
San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers odds
American odds, main line. The best price in each column is in bold.
| Sportsbook | San Diego Padres ML | Milwaukee Brewers ML | San Diego Padres spread | Milwaukee Brewers spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MyBookie | +120 | -143 | +1.5 -179 | -1.5 +159 | O 7 -112 | U 7 -110 |
| Bovada | +120 | -143 | +1.5 -185 | -1.5 +160 | O 7 -115 | U 7 -105 |
| BetOnline | +120 | -132 | +1.5 -182 | -1.5 +158 | O 7 -115 | U 7 -105 |
| BetUS | +120 | -132 | +1.5 -179 | -1.5 +156 | O 7 -115 | U 7 -105 |
Line movement
- Milwaukee Brewers moneyline: -233 → -213 since Oct 2 (daily snapshots of the bet365 line)
- total: 7.5 → 7 since Oct 4 (partner sportsbooks)
Injuries
San Diego Padres
- Miguel Andujar: Sidelined, Wrist - Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
- Jeremiah Estrada: Sidelined, Shoulder - Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
- Gavin Sheets: Sidelined, Foot - Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
- Jason Adam: Sidelined, Shoulder - Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
- Lucas Giolito: Sidelined, Elbow - Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
- Joe Musgrove: Sidelined, Elbow - Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
- Luis Rengifo: Sidelined, Knee - Expected to be out until at least May 1
- Ramon Laureano: Sidelined, Hip - Expected to be out until at least Feb 1
- Bryan Hoeing: Sidelined, Elbow - Expected to be out until at least Feb 1
Milwaukee Brewers
- Bryse Wilson: Sidelined, Back - Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
- Cooper Pratt: Questionable, Illness - Questionable for Sep 16
- Rob Zastryzny: Sidelined, Shoulder - Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
- Grant Anderson: Sidelined, Biceps - Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
- Brandon Woodruff: Sidelined, Shoulder - Expected to be out until at least Sep 30
- Quinn Priester: Sidelined, Shoulder - Expected to be out until at least Feb 1
- Brian Fitzpatrick: Sidelined, Elbow - Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
- Angel Zerpa: Sidelined, Elbow - Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
Recent form
San Diego Padres
- October 3, 2026: L 2-3 at Milwaukee Brewers
- September 30, 2026: W 4-1 vs Chicago Cubs
- September 29, 2026: W 8-0 vs Chicago Cubs
- September 27, 2026: W 9-4 vs Arizona Diamondbacks
- September 26, 2026: W 10-7 vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Milwaukee Brewers
- October 3, 2026: W 3-2 vs San Diego Padres
- September 27, 2026: W 6-4 vs St. Louis Cardinals
- September 26, 2026: W 3-2 vs St. Louis Cardinals
- September 25, 2026: W 8-4 vs St. Louis Cardinals
- September 24, 2026: W 5-1 at Philadelphia Phillies
Head to head
- October 3, 2026: San Diego Padres 2, Milwaukee Brewers 3
- August 12, 2026: Milwaukee Brewers 3, San Diego Padres 4
- August 11, 2026: Milwaukee Brewers 2, San Diego Padres 11
- August 10, 2026: Milwaukee Brewers 2, San Diego Padres 3
- May 14, 2026: San Diego Padres 1, Milwaukee Brewers 7
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