Guardians at Rays Pick, Odds & Prediction – MLB, October 12

Guardians (85-77) at Rays (98-64)

Mon, Oct 12, 8:00 PM ET · Status: Scheduled

Win chance, moneyline with the vig removed: Guardians 39%, Rays 61%

Our pick

Pick: Tampa Bay Rays, posted at -161 Bet Tampa Bay Rays -164 at BetOnline →

Market favorite on the moneyline. Published Oct 11, 2026, 1:33 AM ET, before the start.

Price check

• Our price: -161, published Oct 11, 2026, 1:33 AM ET
• Best price now: -164 at BetOnline
• Win chance (no vig) then: 60%
• Win chance (no vig) now: 61%

Guardians at Rays odds

Last updated Oct 12, 4:41 PM ET

American odds. The best price on each side is in bold. OFF: the book hasn't posted this line yet.

Line moves

• Total: 7 to 6.5 since October 11

Matchup

Recent results

Guardians

• W 2-0 vs Chicago White Sox, October 10
• W 9-5 at Chicago White Sox, October 8
• W 9-3 at Chicago White Sox, October 7
• L 3-4 vs Chicago White Sox, October 5
• L 0-3 vs Chicago White Sox, October 3

Rays

• W 4-3 at New York Yankees, October 7
• W 5-2 vs New York Yankees, October 5
• W 1-0 vs New York Yankees, October 3
• L 3-7 at Philadelphia Phillies, September 27
• W 12-1 at Philadelphia Phillies, September 26

Head to head

• July 26, 2026: Cleveland Guardians 0, Tampa Bay Rays 1
• July 25, 2026: Cleveland Guardians 0, Tampa Bay Rays 3
• July 24, 2026: Cleveland Guardians 3, Tampa Bay Rays 11
• April 29, 2026: Tampa Bay Rays 1, Cleveland Guardians 3
• April 28, 2026: Tampa Bay Rays 1, Cleveland Guardians 0

Match preview

The odds favor the Rays. Backing the Rays costs least at BetOnline, -164. BetOnline pays the most on the Guardians, at +149. With the bookmakers' margin removed, the odds give the Rays a 61% chance to win. The line is Rays -1.5. The Guardians +1.5 at -145 is the best line, at Bovada. The total is set at 6.5 runs. It has moved from 7 since October 11. The best over is 6.5 at -125 at BetOnline, and the best under is 7 at -120 at Bovada. Shopping matters on the Guardians: $100 wins $149 at BetOnline and $143 at MyBookie. Our October 11 pick: the Rays at -161. BetOnline has it at -164 today, close to our number.

The Rays (98-64) host the Guardians (85-77). This season the Guardians score 5.0 runs a game and allow 3.8. On October 10, the Guardians beat the Chicago White Sox 2-0. The Rays average 4.7 runs for and 2.9 against this season. Last time out, the Rays beat the New York Yankees 4-3.

Next MLB games

• Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers, Oct 12, 5:10 PM ET. Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers, posted at -139 · Bet Los Angeles Dodgers -127 at BetOnline →

Other MLB games on October 12

• Dodgers at Brewers, Oct 12, 5:10 PM ET

All MLB picks · MLB odds

Guardians vs Rays FAQ

Who is favored in Guardians vs Rays?

The Rays are favored. The best moneyline on the Rays is -164 at BetOnline, and with the bookmakers' margin removed the odds give the Rays a 61% chance to win.

What is the spread for Guardians vs Rays?

The Rays are 1.5-point favorites (Rays -1.5) at all 4 books with a spread. The best bet on the Rays is -1.5 at +130 at MyBookie. The best bet on the Guardians is +1.5 at -145 at Bovada.

What is the over/under for Guardians vs Rays?

The over/under is 6.5 runs at 3 of the 4 books with a total. The best over is -125 at BetOnline. The best under is 7 at -120 at Bovada.

When and where is Guardians vs Rays?

The Guardians play the Rays on Monday, October 12 at 8:00 PM ET.