Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, Picks & Odds (Oct 21, 2026)
Tue, Oct 20, 9:30 PM ET
Our pick
San Antonio Spurs moneyline -132, published Aug 19, 2026, 9:16 PM ET.
Why we pick San Antonio Spurs
We pick San Antonio Spurs on the moneyline at -132 when we published it on Aug 19. We back the side the odds favor, and that price implies a 57% chance of the Spurs winning. Bovada, the only partner sportsbook pricing this game so far, has the Spurs at -141 on the moneyline, a margin-free 56.3%.
Line movement: the San Antonio Spurs moneyline has moved from -135 to -141 since Oct 3 (partner sportsbooks); the total has moved from 230 to 230.5 since Oct 3 (partner sportsbooks).
The Thunder are 2-3 in their last 5, averaging 105.2 scored and 110.8 allowed; most recently losing to San Antonio Spurs 103-111 on May 30, 2026. The Spurs are 1-4 in their last 5, averaging 102.0 scored and 104.4 allowed; most recently losing to New York Knicks 90-94 on June 13, 2026.
In the last 5 meetings in our results history, the Spurs have won 3 and the Thunder 2. The most recent was on May 30, 2026: San Antonio Spurs 111, Oklahoma City Thunder 103.
Injury report: the Thunder list 6 (Ajay Mitchell, Questionable; Otega Oweh, Questionable; Nikola Topic, Questionable; more below); the Spurs list 2 (Jayden Quaintance, Sidelined; David Jones, Questionable).
Market vs best price
We don't run a projection model. This compares the sportsbooks' own view with the best price you can get.
- Consensus win probability for San Antonio Spurs (margin removed, 1 books)
- 56.3%
- Best price
- -141 at Bovada (58.5% implied)
- Difference
- -2.2 points
Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs odds
American odds, main line. The best price in each column is in bold.
| Sportsbook | Oklahoma City Thunder ML | San Antonio Spurs ML | Oklahoma City Thunder spread | San Antonio Spurs spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | +120 | -141 | +2.5 -105 | -2.5 -115 | O 230.5 -110 | U 230.5 -110 |
| BetOnline | — | — | +2.5 -110 | -2.5 -110 | O 230 -110 | U 230 -110 |
Line movement
- San Antonio Spurs moneyline: -135 → -141 since Oct 3 (partner sportsbooks)
- total: 230 → 230.5 since Oct 3 (partner sportsbooks)
Injuries
Oklahoma City Thunder
- Ajay Mitchell: Questionable, Calf - Questionable for start of season
- Otega Oweh: Questionable, Lower Leg - Questionable for start of season
- Nikola Topic: Questionable, Back - Questionable for start of season
- Thomas Sorber: Questionable, Knee - Questionable for start of season
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Questionable, Ankle - Questionable for start of season
- Jalen Williams: Questionable, Hamstring - Questionable for start of season
San Antonio Spurs
- Jayden Quaintance: Sidelined, Knee - Expected to be out until at least Dec 1
- David Jones: Questionable, Ankle - Questionable for start of season
Recent form
Oklahoma City Thunder
- May 30, 2026: L 103-111 vs San Antonio Spurs
- May 28, 2026: L 91-118 at San Antonio Spurs
- May 26, 2026: W 127-114 vs San Antonio Spurs
- May 24, 2026: L 82-103 at San Antonio Spurs
- May 22, 2026: W 123-108 at San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs
- June 13, 2026: L 90-94 vs New York Knicks
- June 10, 2026: L 106-107 at New York Knicks
- June 8, 2026: W 115-111 at New York Knicks
- June 5, 2026: L 104-105 vs New York Knicks
- June 3, 2026: L 95-105 vs New York Knicks
Head to head
- May 30, 2026: San Antonio Spurs 111, Oklahoma City Thunder 103
- May 28, 2026: Oklahoma City Thunder 91, San Antonio Spurs 118
- May 26, 2026: San Antonio Spurs 114, Oklahoma City Thunder 127
- May 24, 2026: Oklahoma City Thunder 82, San Antonio Spurs 103
- May 22, 2026: Oklahoma City Thunder 123, San Antonio Spurs 108
21+ only. Sportsbook offers and availability vary by location. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.