Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction, Picks & Odds (Oct 22, 2026)
Wed, Oct 21, 10:10 PM ET
Our pick
Los Angeles Lakers moneyline -200, published Aug 19, 2026, 9:16 PM ET.
Why we pick Los Angeles Lakers
We pick Los Angeles Lakers on the moneyline at -200 when we published it on Aug 19. We back the side the odds favor, and that price implies a 67% chance of the Lakers winning. Bovada, the only partner sportsbook pricing this game so far, has the Lakers at -200 on the moneyline, a margin-free 64.3%.
Line movement: the Los Angeles Lakers moneyline has moved from -200 to -182 since Sep 7 (daily snapshots of the bet365 line); the Los Angeles Lakers spread has moved from -5 to -5.5 since Oct 3 (partner sportsbooks); the total has moved from 236.5 to 237 since Oct 3 (partner sportsbooks).
The Warriors are 1-4 in their last 5, averaging 110.6 scored and 118.0 allowed; most recently losing to Phoenix Suns 96-111 on April 17, 2026. The Lakers are 1-4 in their last 5, averaging 102.6 scored and 111.4 allowed; most recently losing to Oklahoma City Thunder 110-115 on May 11, 2026.
In the last 4 meetings in our results history, the Lakers have won 3 and the Warriors 1. The most recent was on April 9, 2026: Los Angeles Lakers 119, Golden State Warriors 103.
Injury report: the Warriors list 2 (Jimmy Butler, Sidelined; Moses Moody, Sidelined); the Lakers list none.
Market vs best price
We don't run a projection model. This compares the sportsbooks' own view with the best price you can get.
- Consensus win probability for Los Angeles Lakers (margin removed, 1 books)
- 64.3%
- Best price
- -200 at Bovada (66.7% implied)
- Difference
- -2.4 points
Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers odds
American odds, main line. The best price in each column is in bold.
| Sportsbook | Golden State Warriors ML | Los Angeles Lakers ML | Golden State Warriors spread | Los Angeles Lakers spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | +170 | -200 | +5 -110 | -5 -110 | O 236.5 -110 | U 236.5 -110 |
| BetOnline | — | — | +5.5 -110 | -5.5 -110 | O 237 -110 | U 237 -110 |
Line movement
- Los Angeles Lakers moneyline: -200 → -182 since Sep 7 (daily snapshots of the bet365 line)
- Los Angeles Lakers spread: -5 → -5.5 since Oct 3 (partner sportsbooks)
- total: 236.5 → 237 since Oct 3 (partner sportsbooks)
Injuries
Golden State Warriors
- Jimmy Butler: Sidelined, Knee - Expected to be out until at least Dec 1
- Moses Moody: Sidelined, Knee - Expected to be out until at least Dec 1
Los Angeles Lakers
None listed.
Recent form
Golden State Warriors
- April 17, 2026: L 96-111 at Phoenix Suns
- April 15, 2026: W 126-121 at LA Clippers
- April 12, 2026: L 110-115 at LA Clippers
- April 10, 2026: L 118-124 at Sacramento Kings
- April 9, 2026: L 103-119 vs Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
- May 11, 2026: L 110-115 vs Oklahoma City Thunder
- May 9, 2026: L 108-131 vs Oklahoma City Thunder
- May 7, 2026: L 107-125 at Oklahoma City Thunder
- May 5, 2026: L 90-108 at Oklahoma City Thunder
- May 1, 2026: W 98-78 at Houston Rockets
Head to head
- April 9, 2026: Los Angeles Lakers 119, Golden State Warriors 103
- February 28, 2026: Los Angeles Lakers 129, Golden State Warriors 101
- February 7, 2026: Golden State Warriors 99, Los Angeles Lakers 105
- October 21, 2025: Golden State Warriors 119, Los Angeles Lakers 109
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